Friday, April 17, 2009 10:42
It does get worse
In Uncategorized • 2,351 views • 35 Comments
Despite the mainstream media’s spin, chances are that things will get worse
The advance estimates of GDP figures released by the government on 14th April underscored the deteriorating economic situation in Singapore. The government had to revise – for the third time – its figures after the economy suffered its largest ever quarterly contraction: it now expects the economy to shrink by 6%-9%, a significant change from its previous estimate of 2%-5%.
Despite these bleak figures opinions are still divided about the severity of the economic outlook. The Today paper carried an article highlighting this, though the analysts whom the paper interviewed seemed to think that the government was taking an overly-bearish view out of caution, particularly since it fallen on its face after sound too bullish a few months ago. The Straits Times was more optimistic, saying that the situation is “not as bad as it looks” as the worst months were January and February and the economy had showed signs of improvement in March.
The mainstream media appears to be doing its best to put a positive spin on the situation. That is understandable, since the government probably realises the importance of keeping up ‘animal spirits’. Nevertheless, such optimism should not be overstated, as there are reasons to believe that the worst might still be ahead.
One factor is the crashing housing market, where the bulk of household wealth is concentrated. The Economist magazine estimated on 19th March that house prices fell by 4.7% in the first quarter of 2009 after robust growth in the last quarter of 2008; for the first time in two years, HDB’s resale price index has gone into reverse. A report by PropertyWire on 11th April estimated that repossession of properties has increased by 18% in the same period, a number that is thought will continue to rise through 2010. The southbound property market is likely to cause the bad loans held by local banks to spike; it might also make it more difficult for households to sell their homes to raise liquidity.
Tourism, a big component of the economy, is in the woods as well, with tourist arrivals down 15% in February over the previous year, and is likely to worsen. The so-called upturn in exports in March cited by the Straits Times in its report has to be qualified: despite this increase the government actually lowered its overall forecast for non-oil domestic exports the year, expecting it to shrink between 10%-13%.
There are few signs that the vital manufacturing sector, so dependent on exports, has turned the corner: consumer spending in the US is likely to be depressed for a long while – retail sales in the US fell in March – as households are heavily indebted and the housing market remains weak; China recorded a slow 6.1% for the first quarter of 2009 – the lowest rate since 1992 – though given the notorious unreliability of official statistics, this might even be an overstatement.
The upshot is that the effect on ordinary folk could worsen. Retrenchments and redundancies in the last quarter of 2008 nearly quadrupled over the preceding one according to government statistics, and it is likely that these have not abated. Despite the media focus on so-called PMETs (professionals, managers, executives and technicians) losing their jobs, statistics show that the proportion of retrenchments is still weighted in the direction of lower wage workers. And in spite of the government’s constant admonishment that Singaporeans were being choosy about jobs, the huge crowds at recruitment fairs give a hint that the demand for work might be exceeding supply.
Even so, there are signs that the government feels that it has done enough: just last week, the prime minister announced that no new fiscal measures were necessary; two days ago, the central bank gave a half-hearted push towards easing monetary policy. Economists have usually argued that it is better to over-do fiscal stimulus than to under-reach – the government’s caution may yet result in the economy undergoing far more painful times before it recovers.
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35 Comments
The Peak @ Toa Payoh
TrueBlood Singapore
Why being an Engineer Graduate from NUS or NTU and work in MMC. First Engineer, later Senior Engineer, after that Section Manager. Then Department Head or Director and after that being Chop cause of Recession or Office Politics.
Then he go for interview, he cert already being expired!
Be like Steve Jobs or Mr Sim Woo, or join Civil Service or Investment Banker!
Never take Enginneering Path unlike is passion!
David
Why aren’t the govt stimulating the economy? Are they waiting for other country leaders to react to help push Singapore economy? Is our govt now on waiting game in the hope to buy time and save more money for overseas shoping spree? Why are peasants all seen struggling to make ends meet and nothing was done to help them. Did they also not step up to query why Sentosa IR needs more than half of fioreigners as their work force. The bottom line is, what has our govt done so far other than asking people to spend money upgrading and retraining when jobs are gone to someone not a Singaporean.
hansolo
Actually it’s very simple. USA is our biggest trading partner, so our recovery will follow theirs.
We’ll feel the positive impact within 3 months of a USA recovery.
If USA is not improving, then don’t imagine for a moment that Singapore’s economy will.
lobo76
4)
makes sense. I don’t think any amount of stimulus will help the economy.
Doesn’t mean they can’t give out more ‘help’ though…
TrueBlood Singapore
PAP got no Solutions!
Only Retrain Singaporean! ALL your Degrees from NTU or NUS is not Job Ready but only from WDA.
The Better Ones are
China PRC – for HardSkills
Indian – for Software or Chemical or Finance
Philipino – for Service
and they are very Cheap!!!
mike
those early years of singapore govt and business leaders like sim wong hoo, quek leng peng and his sons, ng teng fong and sons, goh keng swee, toh chin chye, niagm tong dow, even including LKY of those year traits and many others. they are comprised of non educated talents and high education talents combined. what so special about them? simply cos they used common sense and instinstively acumens of doing business in a open, honourably, fair and above all for the interest of the ppl.
today, look at this new breed! sigh! this is what we get today mess one after another.
i wonder, if we could back the same group, what would happened? do you guy think any different wil it made?
Dingfeng
Since Singapore is an export-based economy, what role should fiscal stimulus play, given that its multiplier effect is diminished? It is hard to understand a position that fiscal stimulus is a keystone for recovery.
SZ
Correct me if i am wrong…
HDB price increase, public transport increase, GST, CPF etc etc contributes to our gahmen, increasing their profit intake…and it will somehow or rather lead to a increase in an already extraordinary paycheck
however, singaporeans are advice to swallow the miserable pay, with miserable increment so that Singapore can be competitive enough to attract FI, which will help with our economic growth, and with economic growth, our gahmen leader paycheck increase yet again…because this economic growth is due to their “brilliance” and singaporeans workers are still stuck with miserable pay with no rewards for their effort. as all the rewards seems to be in a mono direction
so all in all, Singaporeans in virtually every single aspect is contributing to the gahmen and the growth, at their own expense.
I hope I am wrong in my perception/view…but i am just a cynic…
LOL
Thats y ASEAN is impt at this stage now, ie to have more export makets rather than one giant one that brings us down real bad when the giant suffers big time. Our foreign poilcy should be forging ties and trading agreements with many untested trade partners rather than the heavily depending on the USA. But back to the main point. WIth the recession this bad, the government should and must be doing more to ease the pain of the 6-10% unemployed soon. Singapore also needs to heaily develop local brands so that we can sell within singapore so as to prevent cash outflow to other countries.
Mere morta-mentalists incorrigibes
Why question our MSM?
Its ranking is not bad what.
I mean most highly educated mere mortals and our youths, and undergrads all PAY and PAY for the news each day . Why? they must have trust the news right? These highly smart and educated ones. So much future in them. they so proud wor. so bombastic and stedi bom bi bi wor.
allow me digress a lil. last night, I dreamt Man utd defeated by WBA by a whopping margin of 81:3. hsien ah.
TrueBlood Singaporean
Whoever study Economic understand 2 type of weapons to use help stimulate the economy.
1) Fiscal Expansion – Spend on Infrasture, Internal Consumption. Dollar Mutiplier Effect.
2) Monetary Policy – Lower Interest Rate to simulate borrowing for investment in production or control Sing dollars against USD, Euro to made export competitive.
The problem for long term bis not these 2 policies! Singapore does not produce Enough Innovative Products in Electronic or Media compare to Taiwan or Korea.
where world value our products.
MNC just want the profits from our products. Gov just want Foreign workers levy and it left the ordinary workers to suffers! We are in the low value chain!
mon
medisave limit once reached, the extra contribution will go into special account.
But that limit will keep going up.
There is no maximum limit to it.
So it is possible when PAP is desperate and designed policies such that your medisave account is 80K but your special account is 30K and because you have so little in your special + ordinary, you cannot take any monies out from CPF when you reach 55 and had to wait until 65 to get 500 dollars a month.
Is this smart of them ?
It might get worse and stay worse for a period of time.
Jobs that disappear have to be created by new companies, new products and new services.
Creating new companies take time. Employment rates are directly affected by that. That’s the reason why the economy will stay down for a while.
Brace yourselves.
aiyoyo
aiyoyo
just ask the elites to INVEST locally
sure got enough $ to create jobs for man on the street (I believe)
instead elites went outside invest, then end up like what?
got make $ or not make $ invest outside?
aiyoyo
Chao Lee Bai
Am i right to say Citi pricing now gotten them out of red ?
like this how is the situation over at Ubi S?
underwater
3) David on April 17th, 2009 11.57 am Why aren’t the govt stimulating the economy?
They don’t even have the foresight to stop chasing after bad investment, you think they care about the commoners-wishful thinking.
They will only look out for themselves and worry about their billions of paper losses, and how to cover by sucking more blood for Singapore, INC and State Owned Companies. (pro Companies budget instead pro people budget)
by collecting more GST and taxes to help themselves.
They have no idea of what to do but blame external factors and things beyond their control.
So don’t hope for anything from these blood suckers !!!!!!
www
There are serious misconceptions about what really is happening. What the true situation is:
a. The Singapore economy is heavily dependent on exports on both goods and services, easily around 200% of GDP. You can easily verify this info by searching the web. So if our trade partners do not increase their imports, our economy will continue to slide.
b. Fiscal stimulus do not have much impact because our population is too small to let domestic consumption generate any growth.
c. The purpose of temporary foreign workers is to keep the business cost low for 2 reasons: (i) to keep exports competitive and (ii) to reduce the cost of living, like low prices at food court, transportation, infrastructure construction etc.
d. It does have the side-effect of creating competition in the labour market. The alternative approach is to think we bo-leh “do everything ourselves”. The side-effect is that we lose our competitive edge in exports and also incur higher cost of living. Singapore is just a tiny country that anyone can easily ignore. We need the world more than the world needs us.
e. Nothing is perfect. The most obvious way is to re-train workers so that they can take up jobs that demand more salary. That is the way to be sustainable. Teach a man to fish, so that he earns more. Is is not easy, but if there are no better ideas, that is the way to go.
f. The rest of the world says Singapore is run like a company. It is not because the government is profit-taking. But because the economy is almost entirely driven by the government. The government consolidates national resources to compete in the global market through government linked companies. There is only very few SMEs that suceeds in the global market. Remember that our economy depends almost only on exports. This is what “run like a company” means.
g. If you look at the budget records at the Ministry of Finance, you will see that individual income tax is not how the govt gets most of the revenue. Most of the revenue comes from corporate taxes, stat boards, and govt-linked companies, and government-planned investments. All these the result of direct and indirect government involvement. This is also why people say Singapore is run like a company. Private sector and income tax do not contribute to the majority of the revenue.
h. If you at the financial budget records again, you will see that the total govt expense is still relatively low compare to the total revenue even though there is a big hooha about big pay check for the MPs. Substantial amout of revenue goes in the reserves, and this is why we do not need to borrow from the IMF in this crisis. Although they justify their high pay by saying they deserve it, the truth is that they are desperate to retain people in the government. They find it harder and harder for them to sustain economic growth when global competition is so fierce.
i. Many people are frustrated about live is not getting better and not getting more relaxing, but I think comments have to take into the account on the reliance the government. We all know they are not perfect. Sometime somewhere something will cock-up. To avoid sounding like unreasonable people who did not get the facts right, I think we have to present the complaint very accurately on why things went wrong. Showing what went wrong is always the easy part.
radlife66
i hope more ppl like www can post here.
www
radlife66, I am glad that you like my post.
But do read widely and globally, like ST forum, The Times, International Herald Tribute, The Economist, etc, to:
- get facts right by examining multiple sources
- get a wider perspective on issues
Don’t just read TOC only.
Money comes from where?
My dear WWW,
a question since you mention this ” If you look at the budget records at the Ministry of Finance, you will see that individual income tax is not how the govt gets most of the revenue. Most of the revenue comes from corporate taxes, stat boards, and govt-linked companies, and government-planned investments.”
where does the money originally come from? especially for investment? don’t tell me it is from the air…
“Private sector and income tax do not contribute to the majority of the revenue.”
yes, it sure doesn’t. since GIC and other investment does, and since our CPF contribution that is use to finance some of the investment isn’t tax…so therefore, the gahmen really does not get their revenue from income tax. NICE!
“he truth is that they are desperate to retain people in the government. They find it harder and harder for them to sustain economic growth when global competition is so fierce.”
that is something acceptable…but is it justifiable, with the current selection of MIW. WWW, you make everything sound so easy and nice for them. However, they are not as guiltless as what you are implying…www
theonlinecitizen
Dear www,
Thanks for your comments. However, your arguments are simplistic on several counts:
(1) On your points [a] and [b], there is little dispute that Singapore’s economy will not recover without a recovery in its main export markets or that there is a high degree of leakage in Singapore’s open economy. But that does not mean that fiscal stimulus is useless, otherwise the government wouldn’t have bothered with its huge Jobs Credit Scheme – the issue here is that the stimulus might have been better targeted at households and individuals to alleviate the pain from the economic fallout. E.g. some parties have suggested some form of unemployment benefits or strengthening the social safety net. Instead, what you have is the bulk of the government’s fiscal stimulus going to firms rather than individuals, with no certainty that the benefits will be passed on from the former to the latter.
(2) On points [c] and [d], while Singapore has largely benefited from a liberal foreign worker policy, there are just as many economists who have pointed out the possible downsides of this. It is thought to have hindered the development of domestic managerial talent, discouraged mechanisation of certain industries and contributed to rising asset prices. You seem to have alluded to a false choice – the choice is not between a liberal FW policy and to have zero FWs, it is inevitably somewhere in the middle, and arguably those who advocate a tighter policy are not entirely unjustified in saying so.
(3) On point [e], few would dispute the merits of a re-training policy, but the problem is that the government seems to treat it as a panacea for unemployment. It is not, and it should be coupled with some sort of income support for the unemployed as in every developed country – the government has made a very modest start by giving a small allowance for those undergoing re-training, but this is still far from sufficient.
(4) On point [f], many would argue that is precisely what has stifled the domestic private sector and entrepreneurship. Worse, it conditions the manner in which the government treats its people – as mere workers, rather than as individuals, and which justifies its elitist conceptions. That might be detrimental for society in the long run.
(5) On point [h], the take of the government is relatively low, because of its lowish taxes, but the upshot is one of the most unequal societies in the developed world. And the argument – that talented people are not inclined to politics because the pay is not sufficiently attractive – is an incomplete one at best: it disregards other factors like a rather apolitical society engendered by the government’s iron-fist approach to dissent or that talented people don’t see serving in politics as an avenue where they can retain their individuality and their right to disagree with government policy.
how much are you paid for your services
18) www on April 20th, 2009 10.30 am
You seem to be well read. Now let me ask you some questions.
What say you. Which is better. A land so small like ours to be shared say among 1million people or the same land mass to be shared among say 5million or even 6million where the top group of 20% get to enjoy good life (some of whom get to have very high discretionary income to the tune of maybe 3 to 4m or more annually) while the rest have to fight for crumbs while the lowest 5% may always be on dependent mode.
The financial crisis has shown us the flaw that is going on with this cut-throat capitalistic way of distribution with casualties like inflation / job losses due to illusionary demand and pricing and taking of unnecessary national risks which could well be best spent on their own countrymen.
Talking about low prices by delibrately encouraging the inflow foreign workers, it will only happen if there are varied jobs for people with the right skill with net $$ inflow into the country at the same time. Else, some people will be left loitering rubbing their feet on the road.
Stability itself is also a cost advantage for productive work. how is this advantage priced & capitalized and the benefits being subsequently redistributed, I think you know more than a lot of people.
“The rest of the world says Singapore is run like a company. It is not because the government is profit-taking.”
You just need to collect 10cents each from 4m people and you will have $400,000/-. I leave you to ponder on the rest of the mechanics on the garment-provided services we need to pay and how on earth ours is the highest paid in the world.
“If you look at the budget records at the Ministry of Finance, you will see that individual income tax is not how the govt gets most of the revenue. Most of the revenue comes from corporate taxes, stat boards, and govt-linked companies, and government-planned investments.”
Well, if the benefits are so much skewed in favour of corporations at the expense of a very “obedient” group of lesser mortals (no minium wage and labour unions just for show) who as yet have to compete with foreigners and as yet have to spent on consumption tax (gst) which itself is a tax. Imagine that your past saving (say you have $10,000/-) is magically reduced by $100/- if gst is increased by 1% assuming that you are going to spend in this country.
For a low-income breadwinner and assuming he spends all $1000/- salary on basic & essential neccessities every month for his wife and one child , effectively he is paying tax $70/- (gst). Multiply across by 12mths, that is $840/- per year worth of tax.
Please do not tell us about misconceptions. The only reason they can get away with all our misconceptions is because they are still weilding a very hard stick with people like you behaving as their intellectual bodyguards. may i know, how much are you paid for your services.
WWW...???
I am sure Mr WWW read so widely, and that’s why he can come up with such simplistic answer that are bias without considering any knock-on effect.
Reading from ST forum, The Times, International Herald Tribute, The Economist? to get more view? how about .gov.sg to get all the ideal information? his answers just seem to be similar to the ideal answer our dear leader give…not objective and neutral answers from IHT, FT etc…
www
Exports = 200%, domestic consumption = 40% of GDP.
If your goal is to increase GDP, which is the better way to use the stimulus? Helping companies become export competitive or giving money for people to spend?
I suppose you want to mean getting more money to improve the life of the lower income group. This is a fair point to make. The problem is that:
a) You are confusing social safely net with economic stimulus.
b) Social security is not the sustainable way to get people out of poverty. We need to help people who need help. It is not the case that there is no social subsidies. But what percentage of people really need social support, and what percentage are employed but want a higher salary? What is the more appropriate policy for each of these group? Does feeling good with payouts in your hands help you to lead a better life than having the ability to earn more?
c) Closing the income gap is a realistic and useful objective. But what fraction of people are truly concern with this goal, and what fraction are plainly jealous? There is a fine line that makes a huge difference. And how many people has the misconception that social safely improves quality of life?
d) There is not perfect way of income redistribution. But we all know for sure that communism has failed, and that the market is the more practical, although not perfect, way of channeling wealth to the common people. Look around the world. How many get better life by having a better job or better business, and how many people get a better life by taking wealth away from the rich? The market needs to be regulated, not strangled. Incomes needs to be channeled to the poor in the sustainable way by enabling them to earn more, not ransacking the rich.
e) Singapore is more socialist than you are thinking. The majority of revenue is captured through govt-owned and govt-linked companies, and the expenses are spent on public goods (land, transport, education, health service etc.) rather than a direct payout to individual citizens. Yes, you contributed capital, but how much are you asking the returns to be? Do you actually prefer not paying tax, not doing public service, and to be left on your own? Do you really prefer this?
f) If you have inferior complex or are perpetually jealous of the highest income group, you are going to feel miserable and grumpy forever. I am not asking you to be contented, but striving for improvement is different from looking sour.
g) The current system is not perfect. There are problems. But it is better to be accurate and offer constructive suggestions than waste energy blaming on the wrong reasons.
I am so jealous leh
25) www on April 21st, 2009 9.10 am
“Exports = 200%, domestic consumption = 40% of GDP.”
Where you have to value add with no raw resources of your own and no good global brand goodwill that you have built except to be very good obedient workers. this is the price to pay for stressing too much on one area (manufacturing & servicing for others) without having to build what you can call your very own.
“Singapore is more socialist than you are thinking. The majority of revenue is captured through govt-owned and govt-linked companies, and the expenses are spent on public goods (land, transport, education, health service etc.) rather than a direct payout to individual citizens. Yes, you contributed capital, but how much are you asking the returns to be? Do you actually prefer not paying tax, not doing public service, and to be left on your own? Do you really prefer this?”
Of course we must pay tax. But don’t you feel the many rent-seeking channels that they are doing it and do not you think that it is excessive. sure you know. and people are feeling the pressure. AGAIN, how else they are the HIGHEST paid public service fficers in the WORLD when you are the SMALLEST (i believe) country in the WHOLE SOLAR SYSTEM.
“If you have inferior complex or are perpetually jealous of the highest income group, you are going to feel miserable and grumpy forever. I am not asking you to be contented, but striving for improvement is different from looking sour.”
Not when those garment officers count on an obnoxious level among those highest income group. It is public service we are talking about and it must itself act as a moderating mechanism for society – not as a perpetuating example to bring about a cut-throat mentality.
“I am not asking you to be contented, but striving for improvement is different from looking sour.”
How to when some of us already think that it is the system which is creating the problem, not totally of course and in areas we can easily identify with.
I think you knows- all to well in fact
“24) http://WWW…??? on April 20th, 2009 9.54 pm I am sure Mr WWW read so widely, and that’s why he can come up with such simplistic answer that are bias without considering any knock-on effect.”
I think he knows the any knock-on effect which may be worst (law of unintended consequences. But he is not paid to focus on this so all the right clear-cut logical economic explanation which is not too messy to understand.
SZ
Woa http://WWW…you sure are smart…trying to boost export when there the demand is going down with the biggest market out there still suffering from this downturn
“If your goal is to increase GDP, which is the better way to use the stimulus? Helping companies become export competitive or giving money for people to spend?”
so after you have become export competitive, may i ask who are you planning to sell it to? or are you gonna keep a warehouse full of unwanted stock?
“We need to help people who need help.” really? then then why did Mr V retort the much-respected Dr Lily Neo when she tries to get more aid for those who really need it at her GRC Jalan Besar? do you know what was Mr V retort? is that helping those who really needs it?
“Singapore is more socialist than you are thinking. The majority of revenue is captured through govt-owned and govt-linked companies, and the expenses are spent on public goods (land, transport, education, health service etc.)”
like what was stated previously, the money comes from the people. “and the expense are spent on land, transport and healthcare?” then how do you explain skyrocket land price for nursing home, that is for some elderly, until Khaw has to consider nursing home in JB? expenses spent on transportation? the people are paying the blunt for this transportation. how much for it is subsidies? when fuel increase, price increase. however it doesn’t go the other way. DON’T make it seems as though thos money are been spend on this area. are you naive? or are you, like what some people said, paid to do this?
“but how much are you asking the returns to be?” the answer is simple….most people could have done it better, with a better return if they are given back their 20% CPF contribution since 1+% ain’t much. don’t make it seems as though it is alot WWW and we are asking for too much.
However, i do agree with your last point “The current system is not perfect. There are problems. But it is better to be accurate and offer constructive suggestions than waste energy blaming on the wrong reasons.” but I will like to add one point in. It is better not to waste energy like WWW defending the systems in such a way. both parties need to play a part. as you can see WWW, so many of your points seem so hollow and didn’t voice the perception of alternatives…
ED
“Not as bad as it looks” is it?
HAHAHA, hell we’re in for the ride of our lives :)
Daniel
“where does the money originally come from? especially for investment? don’t tell me it is from the air…”
Head on !!!! If the accounting book is kept secretive and no question is asked about the doubtful cashflow and figure, the figures can be inflated from the air !
theonlinecitizen
“Dear www (#25),
Thanks for your reply. Unfortunately, you overlooked several points:
(1) As one other reader has pointed out, it is a bit difficult to see how improving the export competitiveness of our firms will help in the short term when our export markets are all collapsing. The need of families that have had members thrown out of work is more immediate, and does merit more government spending – improving export competitiveness should be a longer term objective. Furthermore, the latter also depends on factors such as the strength of the S’pore currency – arguably, depreciating the dollar further could have a larger effect on export competitiveness than any money the government throws at the firms, which is in any case an inefficient means of helping them since it does not really discriminate between firms that are fundamentally competitive and those that that are not and which should be phased out by the markets.
(2) On your point [a], there is no confusion – an economic stimulus can take the form of strengthening the social safety net. For example, one of the first things that the US did when the recession hit was to increase unemployment benefits.
(3) On point [b], no one will disagree with you that we should help those that need help. However, the government has tried hard to convince S’poreans that everyone who needs help has received adequate help, which is debatable – first, our social safety nets are so full of holes that many who do need help slip through the nets or don’t bother applying; second, the nets are so thin that it is difficult to say with confidence that those who do get caught in them receive sufficient help. For example, it has been estimated that only about 20,000-30,000 patients (about 0.5% of the population) receive about S$1,000 on average a year in Medifund payouts, which is not much either in terms of patients helped or the size of the help given. There is also a reason why the government does not publish statistics on the number of unemployed people it helps at CDCs.
In any case, the biggest flaw in your argument is how the number of needy people – as measured by S’pore’s increasing Gini coefficient or the government statistics on households, which show wages for the bottom fifth more or less stagnating during the economic boom years – only seems to be increasing (when our birth rates are at a standstill), despite the government’s supposed efforts to “help people help themselves”. Surely that represents some kind of fundamental flaw in the government’s approach.
(4) On point [c], it is difficult to see why the goal to alleviate inequalities should be affected by people who are “jealous” of others who earn more. Such a goal is a laudable objective in its own right, and one reason is that a society that is too unequal strikes most people as being unjust. Having a strong social safety net does help to improve the quality of life, chiefly by reducing the economic uncertainty felt by people, in particular those who meander the fine line between subsistence and lower-middle class status.
(5) Your point [d] is stating the obvious, and no sane person would advocate a return to communism. Then again, the global financial crisis has shown the flaws of free-market “fundamentalism”, so a pure free market system (not that one has ever existed) will succumb to market failure with proper oversight. One reason why the rich are taxed more than the poor is because it is actually economically more efficient – a huge part of the former’s income is unspent, which doesn’t do that much for the economy, while the poor, by necessity, spend a great deal more of their income – and government is the mechanism for rechannelling such income. And you would be hard pressed to argue that the rich in S’pore are being over-taxed – the top rate of income tax is 20%, far below that in other developed countries which typically average 40% or more.
(6) Point [e] might be a better description of S’pore in the 1970s and early 1980s, but the country has actually been moving rather rapidly away from whatever socialistic notions that it might have after independence. Prior to 1980s there was universal, largely free healthcare provided by the government – this was replaced by individual savings accounts with Medisave, et al in the 1980s; prior to the 1990s HDB was not semi-privatised and oriented primarily towards profits – now you have HDB arguing that it has to charge prices not based on costs of building but on the price that its new flats would theoretically fetch in the resale market.
(7) On point [f], it might be better if you did not attribute base motives to people who criticise government policy. That turns the debate into a personal thing without really helping the substance of the debate.
(8) On point [g], certainly the system has flaws but unfortunately you seem to be seeing it from a one-sided perspective yourself.”
SZ
I Agree with post 31.
“For example, one of the first things that the US did when the recession hit was to increase unemployment benefits.”
Payment for unemployment benefits is part of Government expenditure, which is a main component for GDP. furthermore, when unemployment benefits, it will have multiplier effect that influences consumption etc….
from what i see and what i have said before, Mr WWW is somehow repeating the justification of our dear leaders…
www
“For example, one of the first things that the US did when the recession hit was to increase unemployment benefits.”
Payment for unemployment benefits is part of Government expenditure, which is a main component for GDP. furthermore, when unemployment benefits, it will have multiplier effect that influences consumption etc…
The purpose of the unemployment benefits is purely economical because they have a much larger domestic consumption. Domestic spending is what drives their economic, not exports. They have one of the worst social safety net in developed countries.
With 200% exports and 40% consumption in Singapore, unemployment benefits is NOT going to stimulate the economy much. Spending the unemployment benefits is NOT going to create jobs to go around like what the US could achieve.
If you read the news, MAS has been adjusting the currency exchange rate to achieve a balance. Is not as if they don’t know. The rational of keeping companies afloat is that, utlimately it is them who decides when to fire the workers. Handling money to workers do not prevent the companies from firing workers. At the most, you have to design stimulus policies to reduce the impact of business loss to companies so that they are less desperate to fire workers. Maybe you have a better plan to help the economy. But pumping money into workers’ hands does not save jobs.
It is not as if there is no social welfare program around.
But you want to argue for more social welfare or change the reallocation of social welfare resources, don’t link it to the economy. It doesn’t help the economy. That is a fact you must accept. Find another reason.
p/s: May I suggest upgrading forum so that old articles with recent discussion can be easily accessed.
Econ texbook for WWW
Hi WWW, (But you want to argue for more social welfare or change the reallocation of social welfare resources, don’t link it to the economy. It doesn’t help the economy. That is a fact you must accept. Find another reason.)
are you sure it doesn’t help the economy, what is the formula for GDP do you remember? one of the main component is G, government expenditure that consist of welfare payment and the multiplier effect of gov payout is evident, so please, do not say that it doesn’t help the economy, cos it does…but the impact, that’s another thing. perhaps you should relook at some econ text book? before you make your judgment, reading news is fine….but knowing the foundation is important.
“But pumping money into workers’ hands does not save jobs.’ another mistake from you…pumping money, or giving handout to boost consumption helps to save job. with the money to purchase stuff, it helps to increase local demand…and that will knock on to other factor…better then trying to give handout to retain job when there is no external demand…
Mr TOC has been able to counter your argument effectively, but what you are doing is just repeating your same old words…
radlife66
wow! It takes a www to bring out the best from TOC!!!
Thanks, i’ve learnt a lot from you guys :-))
Am still learning.
cheers
The best is yet to be! from TOC.

I heard on CNA yesterday that the new HDB development, The Peak @ Toa Payoh is selling at $720k for a 5 room flat…To me, this is a ridiculous price to pay.
I remember that when I first graduated as an Engineer 18 years ago, my starting pay was at $2+k then (common amongst my cohorts) and now after so many years I am hiring fresh graduates also in the same $2+k range. I struggled then to pay my executive HDB flat as a fresh grad which cost me $200k then. I wonder how the young graduates can pay for decent living in Singapore with the same salary I had when I first graduated so many years ago. Life in Singapore has regressed. Sad.