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Labour market uncertainty looms as Singapore’s employment growth cools

Singapore’s employment growth slows for the seventh consecutive quarter, according to the Q2 2023 Ministry of Manpower report. With retrenchments dipping and uncertainty in hiring and wage increase trends, a cautious outlook pervades the labour market landscape.

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SINGAPORE: In a release that unveils a complex and dynamic labour market, the Ministry of Manpower’s Labour Market Advance Release for the second quarter of 2023 reveals both hopeful and challenging aspects.

While the Singaporean economy witnesses the seventh consecutive quarter of total employment growth, it does so at a markedly slower pace. The document also reveals an ebb in retrenchment rates after three consecutive quarters of growth.

Slowing Growth Puts Employment Expansion in Spotlight

Total employment, which excludes Migrant Domestic Workers, grew by 23,700 in Q2 2023. This is the seventh consecutive quarter of expansion. However, the reduction in pace compared to prior quarters raises questions about the continued resilience of the labour market.

Interestingly, the growth in employment is led by non-resident workers in the construction sector, aligning with the sustained demand for private and public sector projects.

These workers, chiefly Work Permit Holders, typically found employment in lower-paying roles, calling attention to the continued segregation of employment opportunities.

On the other hand, resident employment dipped slightly in Q2 2023, primarily in the Food & Beverage Services and Retail Trade sectors. This contraction, though not unusual for the first half of the year, is a stark reminder of the employment volatility in these sectors.

In a reassuring contrast, sectors like Community, Social & Personal Services, Financial Services, and Professional Services saw continued resident employment growth. However, this growth has decelerated, which may be indicative of broader global economic uncertainties.

Stability Amid Fluctuation: Unemployment Rates Remain Steady

Despite the whirlwind of activity in the labour market, the unemployment rates in June 2023 remained stable – the overall rate at 1.9%, the resident rate at 2.7%, and the citizen rate at 2.8%. This statistic, despite fluctuations in April and May, offers a glimmer of hope in the stormy labour landscape.

Retrenchments Take a Dive, But Why?

In an optimistic turn, retrenchments fell from 3,820 in Q1 2023 to 3,200 in Q2 2023, reminiscent of the pre-pandemic levels.

While business reorganisation and restructuring were flagged as the primary causes of these retrenchments, it’s worth probing deeper into the implications of this decline.

Forecasting a Shaky Future

The Ministry’s release hints at a potential softening of labour market conditions in the coming quarters, mirroring the moderation in economic growth due to global economic turbulence. The guarded approach of firms towards hiring and wage increases could have significant implications for future employment trends.

Government programs aimed at business transformation and employee upskilling could be key tools for navigating the predicted slowdown.

Whether initiatives like the Career Conversion Programmes and the SGUnited Mid-Career Pathways Programme can truly offset the potential impact of the economic headwinds remains to be seen.

Equally, the potential of the newly launched CareersFinder beta feature on WSG’s MyCareersFuture job portal to aid jobseekers is yet to be tested.

However, the approach of using data-driven insights to guide job search and reskilling recommendations seems promising.

The Labour Market Report Second Quarter 2023, due for release in mid-September, is eagerly awaited to provide further insights into the state of the labour market and its future trajectory.

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Taiwan’s FSC rejects CTBC Financial’s bid to acquire Shin Kong Financial, favoring Taishin’s merger plans

Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission rejected CTBC Financial’s tender offer to acquire Shin Kong Financial, raising concerns about its plan, while Taishin Financial moves closer to a merger with Shin Kong. Both companies have scheduled shareholder meetings for 9 October.

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On 16 September 2024, Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) rejected an application from CTBC Financial Holding Co. to launch a tender offer for Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., potentially clearing the path for Taishin Financial Holding Co. to proceed with its proposed merger with Shin Kong Financial.

Jean Chiu, vice chairperson of the FSC, stated at a press conference that CTBC Financial failed to provide a comprehensive implementation plan for the acquisition. CTBC had proposed acquiring between 10% and 51% of Shin Kong Financial’s shares initially, with plans to later fully integrate the company.

However, the FSC raised concerns over CTBC’s lack of detailed provisions on how it would manage various potential outcomes, particularly if it failed to secure full control of Shin Kong.

Additionally, the FSC highlighted gaps in CTBC’s understanding of the financial health of Shin Kong’s life insurance subsidiary, as well as a lack of firm commitments regarding raising the capital size of this subsidiary.

This uncertainty, combined with the method of payment proposed by CTBC—using a mix of cash and its own stock—raised concerns that the tender offer could negatively affect shareholders due to potential fluctuations in CTBC’s stock price during the transaction process.

CTBC’s proposal, announced on 20 August, included an offer of NT$4.09 (US$0.13) per share in cash and an exchange of 0.3132 CTBC shares for each Shin Kong share, amounting to NT$14.55 (US$0.46) per share. This bid was labeled by Taishin Financial as a hostile takeover attempt, as Shin Kong Financial’s board had not approved the offer.

In response, Taishin Financial, which has been vying for Shin Kong through a merger, revised its stock swap offer on 11 September.

The new offer included 0.672 Taishin shares plus 0.175 preferred shares for each Shin Kong share, translating to NT$14.18 per share—closer to CTBC’s offer. Taishin had earlier disclosed on 22 August its original plan to offer 0.6022 shares of its stock per Shin Kong share, which amounted to NT$11.32 (US$0.36).

Chiu emphasized that tender offers based on stock payments are rare in Taiwan, with only six cases since the 2002 revision of tender offer regulations.

She referenced Fubon Financial Holding’s acquisition of Jih Sun Financial in 2023, where cash was used instead of shares, to highlight how tender offers have traditionally been handled in the local market.

Chiu concluded by stating that although Taiwan’s financial market operates on free-market principles, takeovers should avoid disrupting market order and respect corporate stability.

Taishin Financial and Shin Kong Financial are set to hold a special general meeting on 9 October to secure shareholder approval for their merger plan, which will then require the FSC’s endorsement.

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Times Bookstores to close after nearly four decades in Singapore

Times Bookstores will cease operations in Singapore after nearly four decades, with its final outlet at Cold Storage Jelita closing on 22 September 2024. The closure is seen as being attributed to high rents, low sales, and rising operational costs, reflecting challenges faced by physical bookstores in Singapore.

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Times Bookstores will end its operations in Singapore after nearly 40 years, as its last remaining outlet at Cold Storage Jelita on Holland Road is set to close on 22 September 2024.

In a farewell statement posted on Instagram on 16 September, the English book retailer, established in 1978, invited customers to visit the store one final time. “Our happily ever after has finally come,” the post read. “It is with both a heavy heart and a sense of fulfilment that we announce the closure of Times Bookstores.”

The closure of Times Bookstores has been anticipated for several years. The company, owned by regional consumer group Fraser and Neave Limited, closed its branches in Plaza Singapura and Waterway Point in February 2024.

The shutdowns triggered a discussion in Singapore’s literary community about how to better support bookstores.

Struggles Facing Book Retailers

Times Bookstores has been affected by increasing rent, low sales, and rising operational costs. The Covid-19 pandemic exacerbated its challenges, with the business quietly closing outlets at Marina Square and Paragon in 2021.

A key warning came in 2019 when the retailer closed its 8,000 sq ft Centrepoint branch, once one of Singapore’s largest bookstores.

These closures reflect a broader struggle for physical bookstores in Singapore. Rising rent, higher goods and services taxes (GST), and increasing printing costs have driven book prices up, making it difficult for traditional retailers to compete.

Popular bookstore also shut its Marine Parade outlet on 18 June 2023, citing similar reasons, while Books Kinokuniya closed its JEM branch on 9 May 2022 due to slow sales and rental costs.

Future of Singapore’s Bookstores

Following the closure of Times, few large bookstore chains remain in Singapore. Books Kinokuniya, the largest bookstore in Singapore, continues to operate its flagship store at Takashimaya Shopping Centre.

According to a spokesperson from Toshin Development Singapore, cited by the Straits Times, Kinokuniya remains a key tenant, though no specific renewal dates were disclosed. The spokesperson added that Kinokuniya continues to engage with the landlord regularly to appeal to patrons and remain in trend.

Although Times Bookstores will no longer have physical stores in Singapore, its book distribution business, which supplies books from international and local publishers to other retailers, continues to operate.

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