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Three new plots of land on the city fringe in Tanjong Rhu could potentially see more than 5,000 new homes built

Three prime plots in Tanjong Rhu are set to usher in a new era of high-rise housing developments. Analysts project over 5,000 homes in this central, amenity-rich location, following revisions to the Urban Redevelopment Authority’s 2019 masterplan.

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SINGAPORE: Three plots of land in the Tanjong Rhu area are now set to become the foundation for a new wave of high-rise housing developments.

Analysts estimate that these plots have the potential to yield over 5,000 new homes in a location that combines central accessibility with proximity to various amenities.

This transformation became possible following recent amendments to the Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) 2019 masterplan, which included the re-parcelling of residential plots and an increase in their plot ratios.

These changes have paved the way for new high-density residential developments, which are expected to address housing demand while capitalizing on the area’s central location.

It has been more than a decade since the launch of a new private residential development in the Tanjong Rhu area.

The last such development, The Line @ Tanjong Rhu, a 130-unit freehold condominium, was introduced in 2012.

The plots in question, dating back to HDB flats from the late 1960s to the mid-1980s, have been largely untouched since then.

Situated across the Geylang River from the Singapore Sports Hub, these three plots offer accessibility, with Tanjong Rhu and Katong Park MRT stations within 1km.

Besides, with the scheduled 2024 opening of the Thomson-East Coast Line stations, the area’s connectivity is set to receive a significant boost.

In addition to transportation convenience, the new homes will be within walking distance of Dunman High School, Katong Community Centre, and a park connector leading to Marina Bay.

While Tanjong Rhu has historically been a private residential enclave, public housing developments are not ruled out for these plots.

The government’s recent efforts to make flats in prime areas more accessible to homebuyers have opened the door for various possibilities.

Although none of the plots are currently designated for Build-To-Order (BTO) projects in 2023, the Housing Board’s land sales list is expected to be updated by December.

Depending on the government’s decisions, these plots may pave the way for both private and public residences.

The plots are strategically located near the Greater Southern Waterfront and MRT stations, making them suitable candidates for the Prime Location Public Housing (PLH) model.

This model, set to be known as Prime flats from the second half of 2024 (H2’24), aligns with previous statements that the Greater Southern Waterfront could host PLH developments.

Delving into specifics, the first plot adjacent to Sampan Place covers approximately 2 hectares, with a plot ratio of 3.6. This translates to an estimated 600 to 720 public housing units or 800 to 900 condominium homes.

The second plot at the intersection of Tanjong Rhu and Kampong Arang Roads spans around 3.9 hectares, boasting a plot ratio of 4.3. This plot has the potential to accommodate 1,400 to 1,700 public flats or 1,950 to 2,000 private residential units.

A new park, roughly the size of half a football field, is planned for Kampong Arang Road, providing additional amenities for both current and future residents.

The third plot, situated between Tanjong Rhu Road and East Coast Parkway, covers about 5.8 hectares with a plot ratio of 3.5. This plot could host 1,700 to 2,100 public flats or 2,300 to 2,400 condominium units.

Property analysts suggest that given the attractive location and extended period of vacancy, new homes in the area are likely to draw significant demand from both owner-occupiers and investors, driven by strong rental demand in Tanjong Rhu.

The vastness of these plots means that a mix of private and public residences is possible, and the two larger plots could potentially be subdivided for phased development.

Whether these plots are used for BTO projects or otherwise, they represent a promising opportunity for Singapore’s housing landscape, reflecting the ever-evolving cityscape and the quest for accessible, high-quality housing options.

The first plot, adjacent to Sampan Place, is about 2ha – equivalent in size to just under three football fields – and has a plot ratio of 3.6. Graphic by The Straits Times

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Housing

Bukit Panjang makes history with first-ever million-dollar resale flat

In September, a Bukit Panjang HDB executive resale flat achieved a historic milestone, selling for $1.02 million, the first in the estate to breach the million-dollar mark.

As per SRI, 2023 has seen 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals to date, compared to 369 in 2022.

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SINGAPORE: The serene residential enclave of Bukit Panjang has witnessed its first-ever million-dollar Housing and Development Board (HDB) flat sale, sending shockwaves through the local real estate market.

The record-breaking transaction occurred in September when a spacious 127 square meter (1,367 square feet) executive apartment, situated on levels 28 to 38 of Block 181 Jelebu Road, changed hands for a staggering $1.02 million, equating to a price per square foot (psf) of $746.

As per Singapore Realtors Inc (SRI), this highly coveted flat boasts a prime location nestled between the 28th and 30th floors of Block 181, a well-established development along Jelebu Road, completed in 2003.

Block 181 is renowned for its diverse mix of four-room, five-room, and executive flats.

The flat’s lease commenced in 2003, making the development approximately 20 years old.

SRI highlighted that Bukit Panjang has faced a scarcity of Build-to-Order (BTO) projects in recent years, with the last BTO launch dating back to 2016.

Consequently, resale properties within this sought-after enclave of Bukit Panjang have become a preferred choice among homebuyers seeking a place to call their own.

The strategic positioning of this development further enhances its appeal, offering close proximity to key amenities such as the Bukit Panjang MRT station on the downtown line (approximately 148 meters away), the bustling Hillion Mall, and the Bukit Panjang Integrated Transport Hub, just a short 5-minute walk away.

This enviable accessibility to public transportation and shopping centers positions this resale flat as an attractive and practical option for those seeking a convenient and comfortable living experience in Bukit Panjang.

A range of schools is conveniently located within a 1 to 2-kilometer radius of the HDB resale flat, including West View Primary School, Zhenghua Primary School, Greenridge Primary School, Bukit Panjang Primary School, Chua Chu Kang Secondary School, and West Spring Secondary School.

322 Million-Dollar deals to date

According to SRI, to date, a total of 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals have transpired within the first nine months of 2023, in contrast to the 369 million-dollar deals recorded in 2022.

Over the past few years, numerous residential estates across the island have borne witness to the phenomenon of million-dollar transactions, with notable exceptions being Choa Chu Kang, Jurong West, Sembawang, and Sengkang.

Singapore in August this year witnessed a significant surge in the resale market for HDB flats, a total of 54 HDB resale flats were transacted for at least $1,000,000, marking a notable increase compared to July 2023, which saw 32 such transactions, and June of the same year, with 34 million-dollar flat sales.

This is also the highest volume of resale flats transacted for at least $1 million to date, according to data from the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) issued on September.

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Property

Singapore’s property market now considered fairly valued, UBS report

Singapore’s private residential property market has transitioned into a state of fair valuation, according to a recent UBS report. Despite a 15% increase in real prices since 2018, stricter regulations and cooling measures have caused home prices to rise by only 3% in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

Additionally, rents, which have surged by approximately 40% over the same period, are expected to soften.

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A recent UBS report has reclassified Singapore’s private residential property market as “fairly valued” after a period of slowed price dynamics.

Real estate prices surged by 15% since 2018, despite regulatory tightening, while rents spiked by approximately 40% over the same period.

However, cooling measures and stricter lending policies have led to a modest 3% increase in home prices in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

UBS anticipates both home price growth moderation and rent softening as housing supply increases and demand stabilises.

Regulatory risks are a key concern, as rental market regulations remain a possibility.

Affordability, as measured by the price-to-income ratio, is stretched in numerous cities despite recent house price declines.

Unaffordable housing is often attributed to factors such as strong foreign investment, zoning restrictions, or strict rental market regulations.

Weak investment demand poses risks of price corrections and long-term price appreciation challenges.

In Singapore, it takes an average service worker ten years of income to afford a 650 sq ft flat near the city centre, making it more affordable than in Hong Kong, where it would take 22 times the average annual income.

Among other cities, Miami, Madrid, and Toronto exhibit more sustainable price-to-income ratios.

Singapore ranks sixth for affordability among 25 cities surveyed by UBS.

Price-to-rent multiples have declined compared to the previous year, with a Singapore apartment taking around 23 years of rent to pay for itself, in contrast to 15 years in Miami and 42 years in Tel Aviv.

UBS found that real housing prices across 25 major cities had dropped by 5% in inflation-adjusted terms on average.

Rising financing costs due to tripled average mortgage rates since 2021 have hindered housing price growth.

The report highlights that annual nominal price growth stagnated after a 10% rise in the cities analysed, with many cities now approaching mid-2020 price levels.

Only Zurich and Tokyo remain in the bubble risk category this year, with several cities previously in this category, including Toronto, Frankfurt, Munich, Hong Kong, Vancouver, Amsterdam, and Tel Aviv, now classified as overvalued.

This group also includes housing markets such as Miami, Geneva, Los Angeles, London, Stockholm, Paris, and Sydney.

Apart from Singapore, other property markets deemed “fairly valued” by UBS include New York, Boston, San Francisco, Madrid, Milan, Sao Paulo, Warsaw, and Dubai.

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