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51% of non-property owners in Singapore express difficulties in first property purchase: PropertyGuru

PropertyGuru’s study reveals that 51% of non-property owners in Singapore face challenges buying their first home, with the sentiment strongest among singles at 55%.

External factors like inflation, rising living costs, and escalating property prices contribute to these hurdles, even as government measures attempt to boost supply and affordability.

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SINGAPORE: A recent revelation by PropertyGuru, Singapore’s dominant property marketplace boasting an 82% market share, paints a compelling picture of the challenges faced by potential first-time homeowners.

A significant 51% of non-property owners in the city-state have expressed concerns and difficulties in making their first property purchase.

This sentiment is most pronounced among singles, with 55% feeling the pinch, whereas married couples with children are not far behind, with 49% voicing similar challenges.

This data emerges from PropertyGuru’s bi-annual H2 2023 Consumer Sentiment Study (CSS), an initiative that delves into the nuances of consumer sentiments and anticipations pertaining to Singapore’s property market.

The Sentiment Index from the study, which assesses parameters like current real estate satisfaction, housing affordability, interest rates, government efforts perception, and property pricing trends, retained its position from H1 2023, standing firm at 43 points.

In a deeper dive into the metrics, perceptions related to home loan interest rates and the overall real estate climate maintained consistency with the findings of the previous half of 2023.

Adding another layer to this, the study uncovered that while there’s an upward trend in the number of Singaporeans wanting to buy homes, with 64% indicating their intent to purchase, a significant portion still faces hurdles in securing their first property.

A promising statistic within the findings indicates an increase from 38% in H1 2023 to 45% in H2 2023 of Singaporeans planning to buy within the next two years.

When asked about property preferences, New Build-to-Order (BTO) flats, which are HDB flats procured directly from the Housing Development Board, emerged as the top pick at 31%. This was followed by resale HDB flats at 25% and freshly launched non-landed private properties at 15%.

PropertyGuru’s Country Manager for Singapore, Dr. Tan Tee Khoon, sheds light on these trends by pointing out that this spike could potentially be attributed to the government’s efforts in ramping up the supply.

In line with this, it’s estimated that between 2023 and 2025, about 100,000 private homes and HDB BTO flats will be completed.

Dr Tan adds, “the latest HDB housing policy changes and the enhanced supply should assist Singaporeans grappling with housing acquisition challenges.”

Yet, despite these measures, it’s evident that external factors like inflation, rising costs of living, and escalating property prices form a triad of obstacles that deter Singaporeans from achieving their property dreams.

The role of rising mortgage interest rates and sustained inflation cannot be understated.

The data revealed that if inflation continues unabated, over half, or 53% of potential buyers, might defer their property purchases.

Likewise, further spikes in mortgage interest rates might see 59% of non-property owners, especially singles at a significant 67%, postponing their property purchase.

Vice President of PropertyGuru Finance, Paul Wee, however, presents an optimistic perspective.

He suggests a shift in the narrative around mortgage rates, emphasizing the potential for rates to drop in light of the US core inflation rate decline and the stagnation of interest rates in 2023’s second half.

While property cooling measures were introduced, including heightened Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates in April 2023, Singaporeans seem to be adapting.

The percentage deterred by these tax adjustments has reduced from 29% in H1 2023 to 24% in H2 2023.

Furthermore, Dr Tan offers a perspective for investors, indicating that they understand that property taxes and inflation are fleeting challenges.

For multiple residential property owners, the ABSD is seen as a one-time cost which is weighed against long-term benefits like rental income and property value appreciation.

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Housing

Bukit Panjang makes history with first-ever million-dollar resale flat

In September, a Bukit Panjang HDB executive resale flat achieved a historic milestone, selling for $1.02 million, the first in the estate to breach the million-dollar mark.

As per SRI, 2023 has seen 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals to date, compared to 369 in 2022.

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SINGAPORE: The serene residential enclave of Bukit Panjang has witnessed its first-ever million-dollar Housing and Development Board (HDB) flat sale, sending shockwaves through the local real estate market.

The record-breaking transaction occurred in September when a spacious 127 square meter (1,367 square feet) executive apartment, situated on levels 28 to 38 of Block 181 Jelebu Road, changed hands for a staggering $1.02 million, equating to a price per square foot (psf) of $746.

As per Singapore Realtors Inc (SRI), this highly coveted flat boasts a prime location nestled between the 28th and 30th floors of Block 181, a well-established development along Jelebu Road, completed in 2003.

Block 181 is renowned for its diverse mix of four-room, five-room, and executive flats.

The flat’s lease commenced in 2003, making the development approximately 20 years old.

SRI highlighted that Bukit Panjang has faced a scarcity of Build-to-Order (BTO) projects in recent years, with the last BTO launch dating back to 2016.

Consequently, resale properties within this sought-after enclave of Bukit Panjang have become a preferred choice among homebuyers seeking a place to call their own.

The strategic positioning of this development further enhances its appeal, offering close proximity to key amenities such as the Bukit Panjang MRT station on the downtown line (approximately 148 meters away), the bustling Hillion Mall, and the Bukit Panjang Integrated Transport Hub, just a short 5-minute walk away.

This enviable accessibility to public transportation and shopping centers positions this resale flat as an attractive and practical option for those seeking a convenient and comfortable living experience in Bukit Panjang.

A range of schools is conveniently located within a 1 to 2-kilometer radius of the HDB resale flat, including West View Primary School, Zhenghua Primary School, Greenridge Primary School, Bukit Panjang Primary School, Chua Chu Kang Secondary School, and West Spring Secondary School.

322 Million-Dollar deals to date

According to SRI, to date, a total of 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals have transpired within the first nine months of 2023, in contrast to the 369 million-dollar deals recorded in 2022.

Over the past few years, numerous residential estates across the island have borne witness to the phenomenon of million-dollar transactions, with notable exceptions being Choa Chu Kang, Jurong West, Sembawang, and Sengkang.

Singapore in August this year witnessed a significant surge in the resale market for HDB flats, a total of 54 HDB resale flats were transacted for at least $1,000,000, marking a notable increase compared to July 2023, which saw 32 such transactions, and June of the same year, with 34 million-dollar flat sales.

This is also the highest volume of resale flats transacted for at least $1 million to date, according to data from the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) issued on September.

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Property

Singapore’s property market now considered fairly valued, UBS report

Singapore’s private residential property market has transitioned into a state of fair valuation, according to a recent UBS report. Despite a 15% increase in real prices since 2018, stricter regulations and cooling measures have caused home prices to rise by only 3% in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

Additionally, rents, which have surged by approximately 40% over the same period, are expected to soften.

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A recent UBS report has reclassified Singapore’s private residential property market as “fairly valued” after a period of slowed price dynamics.

Real estate prices surged by 15% since 2018, despite regulatory tightening, while rents spiked by approximately 40% over the same period.

However, cooling measures and stricter lending policies have led to a modest 3% increase in home prices in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

UBS anticipates both home price growth moderation and rent softening as housing supply increases and demand stabilises.

Regulatory risks are a key concern, as rental market regulations remain a possibility.

Affordability, as measured by the price-to-income ratio, is stretched in numerous cities despite recent house price declines.

Unaffordable housing is often attributed to factors such as strong foreign investment, zoning restrictions, or strict rental market regulations.

Weak investment demand poses risks of price corrections and long-term price appreciation challenges.

In Singapore, it takes an average service worker ten years of income to afford a 650 sq ft flat near the city centre, making it more affordable than in Hong Kong, where it would take 22 times the average annual income.

Among other cities, Miami, Madrid, and Toronto exhibit more sustainable price-to-income ratios.

Singapore ranks sixth for affordability among 25 cities surveyed by UBS.

Price-to-rent multiples have declined compared to the previous year, with a Singapore apartment taking around 23 years of rent to pay for itself, in contrast to 15 years in Miami and 42 years in Tel Aviv.

UBS found that real housing prices across 25 major cities had dropped by 5% in inflation-adjusted terms on average.

Rising financing costs due to tripled average mortgage rates since 2021 have hindered housing price growth.

The report highlights that annual nominal price growth stagnated after a 10% rise in the cities analysed, with many cities now approaching mid-2020 price levels.

Only Zurich and Tokyo remain in the bubble risk category this year, with several cities previously in this category, including Toronto, Frankfurt, Munich, Hong Kong, Vancouver, Amsterdam, and Tel Aviv, now classified as overvalued.

This group also includes housing markets such as Miami, Geneva, Los Angeles, London, Stockholm, Paris, and Sydney.

Apart from Singapore, other property markets deemed “fairly valued” by UBS include New York, Boston, San Francisco, Madrid, Milan, Sao Paulo, Warsaw, and Dubai.

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