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Pine Grove condominium in Singapore launches fourth collective sale attempt at S$1.95 billion reserve price

Pine Grove condominium in Singapore is once again up for collective sale, with a reserve price of S$1.95 billion. This 660-unit former HUDC estate, previously listed in 2019 at $1.86 billion, marks its fourth attempt since 2008, achieving 80% consensus three times.

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SINGAPORE: Pine Grove condominium will be put up for collective sale again via public tender, setting a reserve price of S$1.95 billion.

This 660-unit former HUDC estate, located in Ulu Pandan and possessing 60 years left on its 99-year leasehold, had previously been offered for sale in 2019 at S$1.86 billion.

This marks the fourth collective sale effort by Pine Grove since 2008, and it has achieved 80 per cent consensus for sale on three occasions.

If successful, owners of 1,163 sq ft units could receive approximately S$2.39 million in gross proceeds, while those with 1,934 sq ft homes might secure S$3.2 million, according to ERA Realty Network, the marketing agent.

With a land rate of S$1.95 billion, the per sq ft per plot ratio stands at S$1,434, factoring in a 10 per cent bonus gross floor area from various incentive schemes.

This rate also accounts for an estimated land betterment charge (LBC) of approximately S$1 billion for intensification and a lease upgrade to a fresh 99-year lease.

Developers pay the LBC for the right to enhance site use or construct larger projects.

Details of the Pine Grove condo (Source: EdgeProp)

The site spans 893,218 sq ft with a gross plot ratio of 2.1, permitting redevelopment into a residential project with up to 2,050 new units, subject to planning approval.

Key insights from Pine Grove’s collective sale and GLS outcome

Mr Tay Liam Hiap, ERA’s managing director of investment sales, noted, “Pine Grove is the largest residential site, both in terms of land size and price quantum, to be launched for sale (en bloc) this year.”

He added that the launch occurred because there’s a year from achieving the 80 per cent consensus to find a buyer and apply to the Strata Titles Board for a sale order.

Due to the more favourable than anticipated outcome of the government land sale (GLS) for Parcel A at Pine Grove, owners are optimistic about achieving better results.

In June 2022, a partnership between UOL Group and Singapore Land Group secured the top position by bidding S$671.5 million, equivalent to S$1,318 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr) for the GLS plot.

The plot attracted five bids, leading analysts to describe it as one of the most competitive races at that time.

Developers face elevated development risks from higher construction costs, economic uncertainty, and cooling measures, according to Mr Wong Xian Yang, head of research for Singapore and South-east Asia at Cushman & Wakefield.

“The en bloc market also faces competition from the GLS programme. The Government has ramped up the supply of GLS sites to cool prices and may continue to do so. Some developers prefer to acquire GLS land as the process is more straightforward,” he said.

Cushman reported that from January to August 2023, only three en bloc projects valued at over S$665.2 million were sold, compared to 11 projects worth S$1.87 billion in the same period in 2022.

Mr Wong attributed this to a gap between buyer and seller expectations and developers’ caution due to high replacement costs.

“The gap between buyers and sellers continues to weigh on the overall en bloc market. Developers are cautious on bids, while sellers’ expectations have remained steady as replacement costs are high,” Mr Wong said.

A Knight Frank report from April 2023 indicated that only one-third of collective sales have succeeded in the current cycle, down from 60 per cent in the 2017-2018 boom cycle, as developers become more cautious in the face of increased risks and compressed profit margins.

The most recent successful residential en bloc deal involved the sale of Kew Lodge, a freehold landed residential site in District 11, to Woh Hup subsidiary Aurum Land for $66.8 million.

Pine Grove, one of the first two HUDC estates to be privatised in 1996, stands out for its substantial land size, ranking second among 18 former HUDC estates developed between 1974 and 1987.

Ku Swee Yong, Director of International Property Advisor Pte Ltd, commented, “Which developer will take this risk given that (a) it takes at least close to a year to clear Strata Titles Board and complete the sale, (b) interest rates for property development will remain high at 4%, (c) increased GST next year adding to construction n material costs, (d) GLS bid prices have been trending down. Even if there were developers keen on such giant sized parcels of land, their bankers might find this too risky in the current environment.”

The tender for Pine Grove is set to close at 3 pm on 29 November 2023.

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Housing

Bukit Panjang makes history with first-ever million-dollar resale flat

In September, a Bukit Panjang HDB executive resale flat achieved a historic milestone, selling for $1.02 million, the first in the estate to breach the million-dollar mark.

As per SRI, 2023 has seen 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals to date, compared to 369 in 2022.

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SINGAPORE: The serene residential enclave of Bukit Panjang has witnessed its first-ever million-dollar Housing and Development Board (HDB) flat sale, sending shockwaves through the local real estate market.

The record-breaking transaction occurred in September when a spacious 127 square meter (1,367 square feet) executive apartment, situated on levels 28 to 38 of Block 181 Jelebu Road, changed hands for a staggering $1.02 million, equating to a price per square foot (psf) of $746.

As per Singapore Realtors Inc (SRI), this highly coveted flat boasts a prime location nestled between the 28th and 30th floors of Block 181, a well-established development along Jelebu Road, completed in 2003.

Block 181 is renowned for its diverse mix of four-room, five-room, and executive flats.

The flat’s lease commenced in 2003, making the development approximately 20 years old.

SRI highlighted that Bukit Panjang has faced a scarcity of Build-to-Order (BTO) projects in recent years, with the last BTO launch dating back to 2016.

Consequently, resale properties within this sought-after enclave of Bukit Panjang have become a preferred choice among homebuyers seeking a place to call their own.

The strategic positioning of this development further enhances its appeal, offering close proximity to key amenities such as the Bukit Panjang MRT station on the downtown line (approximately 148 meters away), the bustling Hillion Mall, and the Bukit Panjang Integrated Transport Hub, just a short 5-minute walk away.

This enviable accessibility to public transportation and shopping centers positions this resale flat as an attractive and practical option for those seeking a convenient and comfortable living experience in Bukit Panjang.

A range of schools is conveniently located within a 1 to 2-kilometer radius of the HDB resale flat, including West View Primary School, Zhenghua Primary School, Greenridge Primary School, Bukit Panjang Primary School, Chua Chu Kang Secondary School, and West Spring Secondary School.

322 Million-Dollar deals to date

According to SRI, to date, a total of 322 million-dollar HDB resale deals have transpired within the first nine months of 2023, in contrast to the 369 million-dollar deals recorded in 2022.

Over the past few years, numerous residential estates across the island have borne witness to the phenomenon of million-dollar transactions, with notable exceptions being Choa Chu Kang, Jurong West, Sembawang, and Sengkang.

Singapore in August this year witnessed a significant surge in the resale market for HDB flats, a total of 54 HDB resale flats were transacted for at least $1,000,000, marking a notable increase compared to July 2023, which saw 32 such transactions, and June of the same year, with 34 million-dollar flat sales.

This is also the highest volume of resale flats transacted for at least $1 million to date, according to data from the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) issued on September.

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Property

Singapore’s property market now considered fairly valued, UBS report

Singapore’s private residential property market has transitioned into a state of fair valuation, according to a recent UBS report. Despite a 15% increase in real prices since 2018, stricter regulations and cooling measures have caused home prices to rise by only 3% in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

Additionally, rents, which have surged by approximately 40% over the same period, are expected to soften.

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A recent UBS report has reclassified Singapore’s private residential property market as “fairly valued” after a period of slowed price dynamics.

Real estate prices surged by 15% since 2018, despite regulatory tightening, while rents spiked by approximately 40% over the same period.

However, cooling measures and stricter lending policies have led to a modest 3% increase in home prices in inflation-adjusted terms between mid-2022 and mid-2023.

UBS anticipates both home price growth moderation and rent softening as housing supply increases and demand stabilises.

Regulatory risks are a key concern, as rental market regulations remain a possibility.

Affordability, as measured by the price-to-income ratio, is stretched in numerous cities despite recent house price declines.

Unaffordable housing is often attributed to factors such as strong foreign investment, zoning restrictions, or strict rental market regulations.

Weak investment demand poses risks of price corrections and long-term price appreciation challenges.

In Singapore, it takes an average service worker ten years of income to afford a 650 sq ft flat near the city centre, making it more affordable than in Hong Kong, where it would take 22 times the average annual income.

Among other cities, Miami, Madrid, and Toronto exhibit more sustainable price-to-income ratios.

Singapore ranks sixth for affordability among 25 cities surveyed by UBS.

Price-to-rent multiples have declined compared to the previous year, with a Singapore apartment taking around 23 years of rent to pay for itself, in contrast to 15 years in Miami and 42 years in Tel Aviv.

UBS found that real housing prices across 25 major cities had dropped by 5% in inflation-adjusted terms on average.

Rising financing costs due to tripled average mortgage rates since 2021 have hindered housing price growth.

The report highlights that annual nominal price growth stagnated after a 10% rise in the cities analysed, with many cities now approaching mid-2020 price levels.

Only Zurich and Tokyo remain in the bubble risk category this year, with several cities previously in this category, including Toronto, Frankfurt, Munich, Hong Kong, Vancouver, Amsterdam, and Tel Aviv, now classified as overvalued.

This group also includes housing markets such as Miami, Geneva, Los Angeles, London, Stockholm, Paris, and Sydney.

Apart from Singapore, other property markets deemed “fairly valued” by UBS include New York, Boston, San Francisco, Madrid, Milan, Sao Paulo, Warsaw, and Dubai.

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