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“Worrisome” delisting trend on SGX as companies gravitate towards Chinese markets: Bloomberg Markets

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The delisting of companies from the Singapore Exchange (SGX) in recent years in favour of Chinese markets has been a cause for concern among financial experts.

While Singapore is known to be one of the world’s top financial hubs, Bloomberg Markets wrote that the upward trend of delistings in SGX appears to be a result of “a smaller pool of domestic companies and no hinterland to depend on”, in comparison to Hong Kong’s larger pool and its links to mainland Chinese markets.

Bloomberg reported that “gaming company Razer Inc., one of the country’s few recent consumer-technology successes, led by Singaporean-born CEO Tan Min-Liang and backed by sovereign wealth fund GIC Pte.” has “opted for Hong Kong, which has benefited markedly from its proximity to China” and its “stock connects”, or “authorized cross-boundary investment channels”, to mainland China stock exchange markets.

“Many of the businesses that have left the exchange in the past few years are well-known in Singapore”, according to Bloomberg, which “range from GLP Pte., one of the world’s biggest warehouse owners, to Osim International Pte., Asia’s largest maker of massage chairs”.

“Some chief executive officers who’ve taken their companies private, lamenting what they see as low valuations in the city-state, are seeking more liquid markets that can generate higher stock prices,” added Bloomberg.

“Hong Kong,” for example, “raised $33.5 billion from IPOs in 2018—more than any exchange anywhere—as big name after big name came to market.

“China Tower Corp., a state-owned infrastructure company, raised $7.5 billion in what was at the time the world’s biggest IPO in two years.

“Smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp. raised $5.4 billion, and Meituan Dianping, a food delivery giant backed by Tencent Holdings Ltd., procured $4.2 billion,” Bloomberg reported.

PwC’s head of capital markets in Singapore Tham Tuck Seng told Bloomberg that “Hong Kong’s market is now so much larger and more vibrant than Singapore’s, the two can’t even be compared”.

“The imbalance is practically impossible to right, because companies naturally gravitate to bigger, more liquid markets,” Mr Tham said, adding: “They’re two different fishes”.

Asian equities fund manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments Ltd. James Thom told Bloomberg that his firm has been selling its Singapore holdings to buy Chinese A-shares over the last three years, stating that while Singapore is “home” to “good companies”, he posits that “if you think about the center of gravity in Asia and where it’s going, it’s all shifting to mainland China”.

As recent as last year, even “Southeast Asia’s regional exchanges” such as Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange and the Stock Exchange of Thailand have left Singapore, with each bourse having raised $2.9 billion and $2.6 billion respectively, Bloomberg reported, while “the market capitalization of companies with primary listings in Singapore had fallen by S$97.5 billion, or 14 percent, from the end of 2014, according to SGX data”.

“The bourse’s average daily turnover has been halved since 2007,” added Bloomberg.

Speaking to Bloomberg, analyst at Singapore’s CGS-CIMB Securities International Pte Ngoh Si Yin noted that “These trends are worrying”.

Capital-markets lawyer and partner at Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP’s Singapore office Robson Lee, who had spent over 20 years listing “more than 30 companies list on the country’s stock exchange, bringing to market everything from a grocery store chain to a pawnbroker”, told Bloomberg that he had observed the decline as far back as 2014.

He now allocates “more than three-quarters of his time helping companies throughout Asia to restructure and make asset purchases” in comparison to his time working on SGX listings.

Citing the example of sofa maker Man Wah Holdings Ltd., which “was taken private in September 2009”, Mr Lee said that the company was “relisted in Hong Kong at about eight times its market value” in only half a year.

Singapore’s conservative financial and business approach a contributing factor to SGX’s decline?

Chairman and CEO of Cityneon Holdings Ltd. Ron Tan, who had decided to take his company private last year despite having observed considerable growth since a three-year low prior to that, told Bloomberg that investors in Singapore “have become so accustomed to the steadier, dividend-yielding companies that make up most of the market, as is the case in Zurich and Dubai”.

“It’s the ecosystem—the exchange, the fund managers, the retail investors, even the way I’ve been brought up,” he says.

“I’m a Singaporean, so I myself am programmed this way, so I cannot blame the rest of the people here when they look at my own company.”

Singapore’s “emphasis on following rules and rote learning”, says UBS regional chief investment officer at UBS Wealth Management in Singapore Kelvin Tay, has contributed to “a real dearth of new interesting companies” in the Republic.

“We ask ourselves why we don’t create enough entrepreneurs and creative people,” said Mr Tay.

“It’s not that we don’t have them. It’s just that the system does not allow it. If you have to spend so much time becoming exam-smart, you have very little time to be creative.”

Downturn in public-market sector not reflective of Singapore’s overall economic position, says experts

Despite the downturn in its public-market sector, Singapore, according to Bloomberg, has “strengthened its position as a leading wealth hub in Asia, with private banks overseeing more than $2 trillion in assets and providing alternative investment opportunities in structured products, real estate, and private equity”.

SGX’s head of equities and fixed-income businesses Chew Sutat told Bloomberg that delisting is “a global trend” and “a healthy market function that weeds out weaker companies.”

“Unlike some exchanges,” said Mr Chew, “SGX doesn’t refrain from delisting zombie companies just to keep its numbers up”.

Mr Chew also highlighted that SGX has continued to be successful “in helping companies raise funds beyond their initial offerings”, and insisted that “Singapore is still the market of choice for firms looking to expand regionally and tap international investors”.

“About half of the companies listed on SGX are foreign, and institutional money trusts the Singapore market”, he added.

Bloomberg Economics correspondent for Southeast Asia, Australia, and New Zealand Tamara Henderson said that the delisting trend could potentially serve as a positive sign for SGX, as “unlisted companies, free of the constraints of quarterly reporting, are more able to focus on long-term growth, thereby stabilizing the economy”.

“It’s probably a sign of wealth,” concluded Ms Henderson.

Bloomberg reported that the World Bank ranked Singapore “second out of 190 countries for ease of doing business in a 2018 report.

Citing statistics from the International Monetary Fund, Bloomberg wrote that Singapore’s “gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, based on purchasing power parity, ranks third in the world: $98,260” as of last year.

Singapore’s GDP, “primarily driven by manufacturing, trade, finance, and business services,
has grown consistently—albeit at a moderate pace—since the global financial crisis”, added Bloomberg.

Citing a Deloitte report from 2018, the Republic, according to Bloomberg, was also ranked “Asia’s most competitive wealth management center—ahead of Hong Kong and second only to Switzerland globally”.

Government invests into healthcare, biomedicine, and technology startups as a means of boosting Singapore’s economy

In tandem with its vision of a “Smart Nation”, the Singapore Government has “invested billions in nurturing industries such as health care and biomedical sciences, and in creating an attractive environment for technology startups”.

“Since the early 2000s, Singapore has doubled the number of jobs in the biopharmaceutical industry, to more than 6,000, as GlaxoSmithKline, Merck, Roche Holding, and other companies set up local bases,” Bloomberg noted, adding that “None of this is particularly dependent on the health of the stock market”.

Head of Asian research at United First Partners Justin Tang told Bloomberg that “having a sleepy stock market does little to burnish Singapore’s reputation as a financial hub”.

Senior economist at Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte. Chua Hak Bin posited that while “a vibrant capital market is an added advantage or added benefit to the economy,” he argued that “it’s not the only thing”, given other sectors of the economy that are flourishing in the Republic.

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Economics

Thailand’s household debt reaches record high amid slow economic growth

Thailand’s household debt has surged to a record 606,378 baht per household, driven by slow economic growth and high living costs. A UTCC survey found 71.6% of households struggle to meet repayments. The government is working on measures to alleviate the burden.

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Thailand’s household debt has soared to a record high, with many citizens struggling to manage loan repayments due to weak economic growth, declining incomes, and rising living costs, according to a recent survey.

The study, conducted by the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) in early September, revealed an average household debt of 606,378 baht (S$23,600), marking an 8.4% increase from the previous year. This is the highest level of household debt recorded since the survey began in 2009.

The survey highlighted that 69.9% of this debt is attributed to formal lending, a decrease from 80.2% last year, while informal lending has risen to 30%. This shift is largely due to many individuals reaching their borrowing limits from formal financial institutions, forcing them to seek credit from informal sources such as loan sharks.

The study also noted that a significant number of households are facing difficulties meeting their financial obligations, with monthly debt payments averaging 18,787 baht, up from 16,742 baht the previous year. The delinquency rate stands at 71.6%.

The growing household debt is placing pressure on Thailand’s economy, the second largest in Southeast Asia, which is already grappling with high borrowing costs and sluggish exports amid a slow recovery in China, its main trading partner.

Both the government and the Bank of Thailand have raised concerns over the country’s total household debt, which reached 16.4 trillion baht, or 90.8% of gross domestic product (GDP), at the end of March 2024—one of the highest levels in Asia. The central bank has introduced measures aimed at reducing this ratio to 89% by next year.

For comparison, International Monetary Fund (IMF) data from 2022 shows household debt as a percentage of GDP at 67% in Malaysia and 48.6% in Singapore.

The UTCC survey, which polled 1,300 respondents from 1-7 September, found that the majority had experienced challenges repaying debt over the past year and expected to continue facing difficulties in the coming year.

UTCC President Thanavath Phonvichai expressed concern over the long-standing debt problem, stating that household debt is primarily incurred for daily expenses, housing, vehicles, and business operations, and does not necessarily undermine the overall economy. He added that the situation would improve once the domestic economy returns to strong growth.

In response to the debt crisis, the Federation of Thai Industries has reduced its 2024 target for domestic vehicle sales by 200,000 units to 550,000, citing high household debt and stricter lending conditions as key factors reducing demand.

Finance Minister Pichai Chunhavajira emphasized the urgency of addressing household debt and urged the Bank of Thailand to provide more support to retail borrowers. He also mentioned plans to engage with banks to explore further assistance measures for debtors.

Thailand’s newly appointed Prime Minister, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, has pledged to stimulate the economy immediately.

On Monday, the government announced plans to distribute 145 billion baht to state welfare cardholders starting next week.

This is part of a broader “digital wallet” program aimed at providing financial relief to up to 50 million people, although it now appears much of the support will be disbursed in cash.

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AFP

Top rice supplier India bans some exports

India, the world’s largest rice exporter, bans non-basmati white rice exports to ensure domestic availability and tackle rising prices amid global food crises, potentially impacting rice-dependent nations.

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MUMBAI, INDIA —  The world’s biggest rice exporter India has banned some overseas sales of the grain “with immediate effect”, the government said, in a move that could drive international prices even higher.

Rice is a major world food staple and prices on international markets have soared to decade highs as the world grappled with the Covid pandemic, the war in Ukraine and the impact of the El Nino weather phenomenon on production levels.

India would ban exports of non-basmati white rice — which accounts for around a quarter of its total — the consumer affairs and food ministry said.

The move would “ensure adequate availability” and “allay the rise in prices in the domestic market”, it said in a statement late Thursday.

India accounts for more than 40 percent of all global rice shipments, so the decision could “risk exacerbating food insecurity in countries highly dependent on rice imports”, data analytics firm Gro Intelligence said in a note.

Countries expected to be hit by the ban include African nations, Turkey, Syria, and Pakistan — all of them already struggling with high food-price inflation — the firm added.

Global demand saw Indian exports of non-basmati white rice jump 35 percent year-on-year in the second quarter, the ministry said.

The increase came even after the government banned broken rice shipments and imposed a 20 percent export tax on white rice in September.

India exported 10.3 million tonnes of non-basmati white rice last year and Rabobank senior analyst Oscar Tjakra said alternative suppliers did not have spare capacity to fill the gap.

“Typically the major exporters are Thailand, Vietnam, and to some extent Pakistan and the US,” he told AFP. “They won’t have enough supply of rice to replace these.”

Moscow’s cancellation of the Black Sea grain deal that protected Ukrainian exports has already led to wheat prices creeping up, he pointed out.

“Obviously this will add to inflation around the world because rice can be used as a substitute for wheat.”

Rice prices in India rose 14-15 per cent in the year to March and the government “clearly viewed these as red lines from a domestic food security and inflation point of view”, rating agency Crisil’s research director Pushan Sharma said in a note.

India had already curbed exports of wheat and sugar last year to rein in prices.

— AFP

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