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网红Nas Daily直指民主无法凑效 因投票者以个人情绪投票

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今年四月旅居我国的知名网红“Nas Daily”亚新(Nuseir Yassin)近日发布最新视频,直指“大部分投票者并不了解如何投票,导致民主无法起到改变的作用。”

亚新认为目前的民主制度并不是最完善的,他说一直以来他认为“一人一票,改变政府”会将国家领向更好的未来,但现在他认为这样的想法存有漏洞。

他将投票者比喻为搭乘飞机的乘客,描绘如今的投票者是以个人情绪为判断,而且缺乏判断的知识。

他表示,“假设你今天要搭乘飞机,你和其他乘客必须以民主的方式筛选机长,而目前的候选人有两位。第一位候选人发表其政论:如果当选机长,会遵循航空法,带领各位乘客飞向3万英尺高空;第二位候选人则表示,如果当选机长,他会让乘客乘坐商务舱。而今,大部分人都容易被个人情绪主导,并在欠缺多元资讯和知识下作选择,自然而然地,他们会选择投向给予商务舱的人。

亚新断言,“民主将会判决一位不懂得驾乘飞机的机长当选,最终走向毁灭。”

民主失败是因为媒体与公民组织被打压

但亚新则没有特别强调的是,“机长”可以向乘客吹嘘的他想要表达的内容,如果“机长”没有特别向乘客吹嘘自己能给出什么,乘客也不会知道会得到什么。

这也是为什么“乘客”需要依赖如媒体的专业机构,针对“机长”的内容进行核对。如果专业机构能够根据“机长”的背景或飞行记录作调查,乘客也能从中获得资讯,随即踢爆“机长”荒谬的承诺。

这是亚新只字未提的重点:一个民主的运作,是仰赖具备知识和辨识能力的人民,为选出最好的候选人投票。反之,一个民主的失败则是因为媒体与公民组织被打压。

亚新在视频也提及另一个重点:当作许多课题和问题如关税、核武器、地缘政治、医疗保健、边界等都需要长时间和“真正的专家”解决。同样地,他沿用飞机的比喻表示,一个政府的经营就如同当上飞机师,会经历各种困难和累积多年的飞行经验。

他解释要成为一名“机师”可能需要花上10年的时间,但我们的政府却在每四年就更替,但其中的问题却需要长达20年来解决。因此,他主张民主是一个很好的想法,但并非是最好的解决策略。

视频中,他以中国和印度作为比较,指出中国政府以专政将300万人脱贫,但保有民主体系的印度则面临300万人以上的贫困状态。

“某方面而言,我不喜欢中国,但不得不说,他们确实通往成功的道路”他表示。

然而,这番话最具矛盾的重点是,尽管中国政府为百万人脱贫,但他们过去也因为执行专政,在未经过公开协商下,推动了“大跃进”(Great Leap Forward),导致数以百万计的人民被迫离开家园,并且连年饥荒而饿死,人民为了仅剩的食物而自相残杀。

也正是如此,人民的声音成为集体的力量,迫使中国政府停止并思考民意。尽管现在中国政府是一党独大,但在实施任何政策之前,中国政府仍需考虑民意。

但他仍强调,专制并不是可行之路。他提出代替民主的方案如专家政治论(technocracy)或知识精英制(epistocracy)。

专家政治论指技术专家政治又称专家政治,即以技术为首位的技术人员来治理社会,亦即以技术专家取代职业政治家的政治制度;知识精英制指 亦即让那些拥有更多知识的人来统治与参与投票

亚新认为,民主最大的漏洞在于,政治家透过制造虚假消息、谎言和派发免费金钱获得人民关注,“我们会投向给予我们商务舱的机长,即使他们不知道怎么飞行”。

“某知名人士说过,民主最好的体现就是能够利用五分钟和大众对话。”他引用。

然而,亚新对民主的抨击却过于简化问题。首先,民主的运行,需要各种工具的辅助方能体现它的好处,如法治或新闻言论自由,这些均有助于体现民主制度。若民主国家对法治没有明确的立场,或者不保有新闻与言论自由,民主就不能真正被体现。

将民主制度过于简单化,并未将政府文化和特征纳入讨论

另一方面,针对有限期限制的民主体系,同样是为了防止独裁政权崛起的最佳途径,好比说,美国对总统任期设下两届的限制,表示任何人均不允许执政超过8年。

过去,希特勒常常用作为体现民主失败的例子,因为他的崛起恰恰发生在一个民主国家,然而 ,人们经常遗忘,希特勒是有计划地拆除“民主”工具的人,他使用所有的暴政就是为了阻止任何人获得绝对的权力。

纳粹党在民主体制的德国中缓慢增长,通过消减公民权利、个人自由和新闻自由这些有预谋的、操纵性的举动,最终独吞政权,成为独裁的国家。

人们也经常将美国比喻为民主失败的例子,但考量选举投票制度,如果在总统大选的日子中,仅以最多选票的候选人获胜,而其选票则在各州显然分布不均时,这样的制度可能也未必是最好的例子。

因此,亚新虽然指出民主制度中的漏洞,但我们也不应迅速否定民主体制,尤其是在民主体制未被真正发挥作用的时代与其他因素作类比。

亚新在反对民主体制的论点上过于简单化,并狭隘票选领导者的过程,其观点并未纳入政府的文化和特征。

毕竟,将之作为测量民主制度的唯一标准,忽视任何政治文化和情境下,那么朝鲜领导人金正恩在全票通过下再次当选为领导人,也能被视作“一个正常运作的民主国家”?但别忘了如果有朝鲜人民胆敢投下反对票必然被对付。

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eptxncnmRwE

 

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Ng Eng Hen: Dust clouds likely caused armoured vehicle collision during Exercise Wallaby

Dust clouds limiting visibility likely contributed to the collision between two Hunter vehicles during Exercise Wallaby, Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen explained in his parliamentary reply. 12 servicemen sustained mild injuries, but safety measures prevented more serious outcomes. A formal investigation is ongoing to ensure further safety improvements.

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SINGAPORE: Low visibility caused by dust clouds was identified as the likely cause of the collision between two Hunter armoured fighting vehicles (AFVs) during Exercise Wallaby last month, Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen said in a written parliamentary response on Tuesday (15 October).

The incident, which occurred in Queensland, Australia, on 24 September 2024, resulted in mild injuries to 12 servicemen.

Dr Ng’s statement was in response to a parliamentary question from Mr Dennis Tan, Workers’ Party Member of Parliament for Hougang SMC.

Mr Tan asked for details on the accident, specifically its cause and whether any lessons could be applied to enhance training and operational safety within the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF).

The collision took place during a night-time movement of Hunter AFVs at the Shoalwater Bay Training Area.

The vehicles were returning to base when one rear-ended another. Dr Ng explained that the dust clouds generated by the AFVs’ movement significantly impaired visibility, might likely contributing to the accident.

The 12 affected servicemen sustained mild injuries and were promptly taken to the nearest medical facility.

None of the injuries required hospitalisation, and all 12 servicemen were able to rejoin their units for training the next day.

According to the minister, adherence to safety protocols—such as wearing seat belts and protective gear—played a crucial role in limiting the injuries to mild ones.

Following the incident, a safety pause was immediately implemented, with all drivers being reminded to maintain proper safety distances, especially when visibility was compromised.

Troops were also reminded to adhere strictly to safety protocols, including the proper use of safety equipment, Dr Ng added.

The safety lessons from the incident were shared not only with the affected units but also with other participating groups in the exercise, as well as units back in Singapore, through dedicated safety briefings.

Mr Tan also asked about the broader implications of the incident. In his response, Dr Ng said that a formal investigation had been launched in accordance with SAF’s safety incident protocol.

The investigation aims to assess the circumstances more thoroughly and identify any further measures that could be taken to enhance safety.

Dr Ng shared that recommendations arising from the investigation will be implemented where necessary.

Exercise Wallaby is SAF’s largest unilateral overseas exercise, and the 2024 edition began on 8 September, running until 3 November.

The exercise involves approximately 6,200 personnel, including 500 operationally ready national servicemen.

The exercise has been conducted at Shoalwater Bay Training Area in Queensland since 1990, and it is a key part of SAF’s overseas training program.

The Hunter AFV, one of the vehicles involved in the collision, is a state-of-the-art platform jointly developed by the Defence Science and Technology Agency, the Singapore Army, and ST Engineering.

It replaced the SAF’s aging fleet of Ultra M113 AFVs in 2019, which had been in service since the 1970s. The Hunter is equipped with advanced features, including a 30mm cannon, a 76mm smoke grenade launcher, and an automatic target detection and

tracking system designed to enhance operational effectiveness. It is also capable of traveling at increased speeds and covering longer distances, making it a versatile asset for the SAF.

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Government to “carefully consider” Lee Hsien Yang’s demolition application for 38 Oxley Road

The Singapore Government will “carefully consider” Mr Lee Hsien Yang (LHY)’s application to demolish the house at 38 Oxley Road. LHY announced his intent on Tuesday morning following the recent death of his sister, Dr Lee Wei Ling, reaffirming his commitment to honour his parents’ wish for the house’s demolition.

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The Singapore Government has indicated that it will “carefully consider” Mr Lee Hsien Yang’s (LHY) application to demolish the family home at 38 Oxley Road.

LHY, the youngest son of Singapore’s founding Prime Minister, the late Lee Kuan Yew (LKY), announced his intention to apply for the demolition in a Facebook post on 15 October 2024, following the death of his sister, Dr Lee Wei Ling, on 9 October.

The announcement marks a significant development in the ongoing saga over the fate of the historically significant property, which has been at the heart of a family dispute since LKY’s passing in 2015.

In his will, executed in December 2013, LKY expressed his desire for the house to be demolished “immediately after” Dr Lee moved out of the property. Dr Lee, a prominent neurologist, had been the last remaining resident of the house.

LHY reaffirmed his commitment to carrying out his father’s wishes, stating, “After my sister’s passing, I am the only living executor of my father’s estate. It is my duty to carry out his wishes to the fullest extent of the law.”

He added that he would seek to build a small private dwelling on the site, which would be “held within the family in perpetuity”.

LHY also referenced his brother, Senior Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s (LHL) remarks in Parliament in 2015, when he was Prime Minister, stating that upon Dr Lee’s passing, the decision to demolish the house would rest with the “Government of the day.”

In response to media queries regarding LHY’s announcement, a spokesperson for the Ministry of National Development (MND) acknowledged the intended application and emphasised that the Government would “carefully consider issues related to the property in due course”.

The spokesperson also highlighted that any decision would need to balance LKY’s wishes, public interest, and the historical value of the house.

The house at 38 Oxley Road, where key decisions about Singapore’s path to independence were made, has been a focal point of public and political discussion.

The future of the house became contentious in 2017 when LHY and Dr Lee publicly accused their elder brother, LHL, of trying to preserve the house against their father’s wishes for political reasons.

LHL denied the accusations, issuing a Ministerial Statement in Parliament, where he also raised concerns over the preparation of their father’s final will. He clarified that he had recused himself from all decisions regarding the property and affirmed that any government action would be impartial.

In 2018, a “secret” ministerial committee, which was formed in 2016 to study the future of 38 Oxley Road, proposed three options: preserving the property and designating it as a national monument, partially demolishing the house while retaining the historically significant basement dining room, or allowing complete demolition for redevelopment. LHL accepted the committee’s conclusions but stated that no immediate decision was necessary, as Dr Lee was still living in the house.

In a statement conveyed by LHY on behalf of Dr Lee after her passing, she reiterated her strong support for her father’s wish to demolish the house. “My father, Lee Kuan Yew, and my mother, Kwa Geok Choo, had an unwavering and deeply felt wish for their house at 38 Oxley Road to be demolished upon the last parent’s death,” the statement read.

She added, “He had also appealed directly to the people of Singapore. Please honour my father by honouring his wish for his home to be demolished.”

Despite selling the house to LHY at market value in 2015, LHL’s stance regarding the house’s preservation became a public issue, especially after the family disclosed that the Government had raised concerns about reinstating the demolition clause in the 2013 will. The ministerial committee had reviewed the matter, but a final decision was deferred until now.

The fate of 38 Oxley Road remains to be seen, but the Government’s decision will likely have lasting implications for the legacy of the Lee family and the conservation of Singapore’s historical landmarks.

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