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习近平《告台湾同胞书》四十周年提“两制”方案 遭小英强硬回应

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中国领导人习近平在1月2日,于北京人民大会堂举行《告台湾同胞书》四十周年纪念会,并发表主题演说。

他说,海峡两岸分隔已届70年,但“1949年以来,中国政府、人民始终把解决台湾问题、实现祖国完全统一作为矢志不渝历史任务”,并“团结台湾同胞,推动台海形势从紧张对峙走向缓和改善、进而走上和平发展,两岸关系不断取得突破进展。

习近平强调台湾是中国一部分、两岸同属一个中国的历史和法理事实;两岸人民都是中国人,血浓于水的天然情感和民族认同;以及台海形势走向和平稳定、两岸关系向前发展的时代潮流,任何人任何势力都无法改变、阻挡。

习近平对两岸关系和平发展、实现祖国统一提出五点主张,包括推动民族复兴、实现和平统一;其二,提到“一国两制”本来就是为照顾台湾现实情况,认为“和平统一、一国两制”是实现国家统一的最佳方式。

““一国两制”在台湾的具体形式,会充分考虑台湾现实情况、吸收两岸各界意见和建议,会充分照顾到台湾同胞利益和感情……在一个中国原则基础上,台湾任何政党、团体同我们的交往都不存在障碍。”

“两岸长期存在的政治分歧问题是影响两岸关系行稳致远的总根子,总不能一代一代传下去。”

“坚持九二共识”“中国人不打中国人”

但中方也郑重倡议,在坚持“九二共识”、反对“台独”的共同政治基础上,两岸各政党、各界别推举代表性人士,就两岸关系和民族未来开展广泛深入的民主协商,就推动两岸关系和平发展达成制度性安排。

第三,坚持一个中国原则,维护和平统一前景。习近平提及“中国人不打中国人”,“背离一个中国原则,就会导致两岸关系紧张动荡,……统一是历史大势,是正道。“台独”是历史逆流,是绝路。”

不过,中方也不承诺放弃使用武力,会“保留采取一切必要措施的选项,针对外部势力干涉和极少数“台独”分裂分子及其分裂活动”,绝非针对台湾同胞。

第四,深化两岸融合发展,“继续率先同台湾同胞分享大陆发展机遇,积极推进两岸经济合作制度化”;第五,实现同胞心灵契合,增进和平统一认同,鼓励两岸同胞交流、对话包容等。

习近平始终坚持世上只有一个中国,“坚持一个中国原则是公认的国际关系准则,是国际社会普遍共识。中国人的事要由中国人来决定。台湾问题是中国的内政,事关中国核心利益和中国人民民族感情,不容任何外来干涉。”

蔡英文:始终未接受“九二共识”

虽然习近平提到“中国人不打中国人”,但中华民国总统蔡英文则针对“九二共识”,作出强烈回应,郑重指出台湾始终未接受北京定义的“九二共识”,因为那基本上是“一个中国”、“一国两制”。

“绝大多数台湾民意坚决反对“一国两制”而这也是“台湾共识”。”

她提到中国必须“正视中华民国台湾存在的事实,而不是否定台湾人民共同建立的民主国家体制;第二,必须尊重两千三百万人民对自由民主的坚持,而不是以分化、利诱的方式,介入台湾人民选择。”

“第三,必须以和平对等的方式来处理双方之间的歧异,而不是用打压、威吓,企图让台湾人屈服;第四,必须是政府或政府所授权的公权力机构,坐下来谈,任何没有经过人民授权、监督的政治协商,都不能称做是「民主协商」。这就是台湾的立场,就是民主的立场。”

蔡英文表示“愿意在“巩固民主”及“强化国家安全”基础上,进行有秩序的、健康的两岸交流”,承认两岸经贸应互惠互利共荣发展,但反对北京以“利中”为核心,以利诱及吸引台湾技术、资本及人才“走进中国大陆”的经济统战。“我们将全力推动「壮大台湾」的各项策略及措施,巩固以台湾为主体、台湾优先的经济发展路线。”

“买走台湾邦交国不会带来心灵契合”

他也提到“所谓的心灵契合,应该是建立在彼此的相互尊重与理解,建立在两岸政府务实处理有关人民福祉的问题上。例如,眼前十万火急的猪瘟疫情。施压国际企业涂改台湾的名称,不会带来心灵契合;买走台湾的邦交国,也不会带来心灵契合;军机、军舰的绕台,更不会带来心灵契合。”

虽然蔡英文领导的民进党在不久前的九合一地方选举失利,但她也在致词中重申“这不代表台湾基层民意放弃主权,也不代表在台湾主题问题上退让”,同时呼吁中国“勇敢踏出民主脚步”,才能理解台湾人的想法和坚持。

分析:蔡英文首次公开不接受“九二共识”

根据英国广播电视台(BBC)采访美国战略暨国际研究中心(CSIS)亚洲事务资深顾问葛来仪(Bonnie Glaser),格莱仪认为蔡英文态度自2016年10月以来就趋向强硬,因为“蔡英文一开始的善意并没有得到回应,蔡英文此次回应的多数观点,也是她之前强调的论点,譬如呼吁中国承认中华民国政府存在的事实。”

外界指出,这是蔡英文掌权后,首次公开表示不接受“九二共识”。

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Ng Eng Hen: Dust clouds likely caused armoured vehicle collision during Exercise Wallaby

Dust clouds limiting visibility likely contributed to the collision between two Hunter vehicles during Exercise Wallaby, Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen explained in his parliamentary reply. 12 servicemen sustained mild injuries, but safety measures prevented more serious outcomes. A formal investigation is ongoing to ensure further safety improvements.

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SINGAPORE: Low visibility caused by dust clouds was identified as the likely cause of the collision between two Hunter armoured fighting vehicles (AFVs) during Exercise Wallaby last month, Defence Minister Ng Eng Hen said in a written parliamentary response on Tuesday (15 October).

The incident, which occurred in Queensland, Australia, on 24 September 2024, resulted in mild injuries to 12 servicemen.

Dr Ng’s statement was in response to a parliamentary question from Mr Dennis Tan, Workers’ Party Member of Parliament for Hougang SMC.

Mr Tan asked for details on the accident, specifically its cause and whether any lessons could be applied to enhance training and operational safety within the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF).

The collision took place during a night-time movement of Hunter AFVs at the Shoalwater Bay Training Area.

The vehicles were returning to base when one rear-ended another. Dr Ng explained that the dust clouds generated by the AFVs’ movement significantly impaired visibility, might likely contributing to the accident.

The 12 affected servicemen sustained mild injuries and were promptly taken to the nearest medical facility.

None of the injuries required hospitalisation, and all 12 servicemen were able to rejoin their units for training the next day.

According to the minister, adherence to safety protocols—such as wearing seat belts and protective gear—played a crucial role in limiting the injuries to mild ones.

Following the incident, a safety pause was immediately implemented, with all drivers being reminded to maintain proper safety distances, especially when visibility was compromised.

Troops were also reminded to adhere strictly to safety protocols, including the proper use of safety equipment, Dr Ng added.

The safety lessons from the incident were shared not only with the affected units but also with other participating groups in the exercise, as well as units back in Singapore, through dedicated safety briefings.

Mr Tan also asked about the broader implications of the incident. In his response, Dr Ng said that a formal investigation had been launched in accordance with SAF’s safety incident protocol.

The investigation aims to assess the circumstances more thoroughly and identify any further measures that could be taken to enhance safety.

Dr Ng shared that recommendations arising from the investigation will be implemented where necessary.

Exercise Wallaby is SAF’s largest unilateral overseas exercise, and the 2024 edition began on 8 September, running until 3 November.

The exercise involves approximately 6,200 personnel, including 500 operationally ready national servicemen.

The exercise has been conducted at Shoalwater Bay Training Area in Queensland since 1990, and it is a key part of SAF’s overseas training program.

The Hunter AFV, one of the vehicles involved in the collision, is a state-of-the-art platform jointly developed by the Defence Science and Technology Agency, the Singapore Army, and ST Engineering.

It replaced the SAF’s aging fleet of Ultra M113 AFVs in 2019, which had been in service since the 1970s. The Hunter is equipped with advanced features, including a 30mm cannon, a 76mm smoke grenade launcher, and an automatic target detection and

tracking system designed to enhance operational effectiveness. It is also capable of traveling at increased speeds and covering longer distances, making it a versatile asset for the SAF.

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Government to “carefully consider” Lee Hsien Yang’s demolition application for 38 Oxley Road

The Singapore Government will “carefully consider” Mr Lee Hsien Yang (LHY)’s application to demolish the house at 38 Oxley Road. LHY announced his intent on Tuesday morning following the recent death of his sister, Dr Lee Wei Ling, reaffirming his commitment to honour his parents’ wish for the house’s demolition.

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The Singapore Government has indicated that it will “carefully consider” Mr Lee Hsien Yang’s (LHY) application to demolish the family home at 38 Oxley Road.

LHY, the youngest son of Singapore’s founding Prime Minister, the late Lee Kuan Yew (LKY), announced his intention to apply for the demolition in a Facebook post on 15 October 2024, following the death of his sister, Dr Lee Wei Ling, on 9 October.

The announcement marks a significant development in the ongoing saga over the fate of the historically significant property, which has been at the heart of a family dispute since LKY’s passing in 2015.

In his will, executed in December 2013, LKY expressed his desire for the house to be demolished “immediately after” Dr Lee moved out of the property. Dr Lee, a prominent neurologist, had been the last remaining resident of the house.

LHY reaffirmed his commitment to carrying out his father’s wishes, stating, “After my sister’s passing, I am the only living executor of my father’s estate. It is my duty to carry out his wishes to the fullest extent of the law.”

He added that he would seek to build a small private dwelling on the site, which would be “held within the family in perpetuity”.

LHY also referenced his brother, Senior Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s (LHL) remarks in Parliament in 2015, when he was Prime Minister, stating that upon Dr Lee’s passing, the decision to demolish the house would rest with the “Government of the day.”

In response to media queries regarding LHY’s announcement, a spokesperson for the Ministry of National Development (MND) acknowledged the intended application and emphasised that the Government would “carefully consider issues related to the property in due course”.

The spokesperson also highlighted that any decision would need to balance LKY’s wishes, public interest, and the historical value of the house.

The house at 38 Oxley Road, where key decisions about Singapore’s path to independence were made, has been a focal point of public and political discussion.

The future of the house became contentious in 2017 when LHY and Dr Lee publicly accused their elder brother, LHL, of trying to preserve the house against their father’s wishes for political reasons.

LHL denied the accusations, issuing a Ministerial Statement in Parliament, where he also raised concerns over the preparation of their father’s final will. He clarified that he had recused himself from all decisions regarding the property and affirmed that any government action would be impartial.

In 2018, a “secret” ministerial committee, which was formed in 2016 to study the future of 38 Oxley Road, proposed three options: preserving the property and designating it as a national monument, partially demolishing the house while retaining the historically significant basement dining room, or allowing complete demolition for redevelopment. LHL accepted the committee’s conclusions but stated that no immediate decision was necessary, as Dr Lee was still living in the house.

In a statement conveyed by LHY on behalf of Dr Lee after her passing, she reiterated her strong support for her father’s wish to demolish the house. “My father, Lee Kuan Yew, and my mother, Kwa Geok Choo, had an unwavering and deeply felt wish for their house at 38 Oxley Road to be demolished upon the last parent’s death,” the statement read.

She added, “He had also appealed directly to the people of Singapore. Please honour my father by honouring his wish for his home to be demolished.”

Despite selling the house to LHY at market value in 2015, LHL’s stance regarding the house’s preservation became a public issue, especially after the family disclosed that the Government had raised concerns about reinstating the demolition clause in the 2013 will. The ministerial committee had reviewed the matter, but a final decision was deferred until now.

The fate of 38 Oxley Road remains to be seen, but the Government’s decision will likely have lasting implications for the legacy of the Lee family and the conservation of Singapore’s historical landmarks.

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